Hurricane forecasting team predicts above-average tropical storm activity for the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season
The Colorado State University (CSU) hurricane forecasting team has continued to predict above-average tropical storm activity for the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season, which begins today.
The prediction, previously issued on April 3, estimates the formation of 17 named storms, nine of which will grow into hurricanes. The CSU expects five of those hurricanes will reach intense status, as a category three or higher.
The forecast said: “We continue to call for a very active Atlantic basin hurricane season in 2007. Landfall probabilities for the United States coastline are well above their long-period averages."
The team said there is a 74% probability that at least one major hurricane will make landfall somewhere on the US coastline this season, compared with the average of the last century of 52% probability.
It added: "We have maintained our forecast from our early April prediction due largely to the continued trend towards cooler equatorial Pacific seas surface temperatures.”
